2022年太歲表怎么填
中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)國(guo)(guo)(guo)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)仍處(chu)于(yu)疫后恢(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)復(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)期(qi)，相(xiang)關(guan)(guan)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)改(gai)革和(he)(he)政策仍需(xu)持(chi)續推(tui)進(jin)；2. 投(tou)(tou)(tou)資(zi)(zi)：整(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)體(ti)(ti)(ti)穩(wen)(wen)步修復(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)向(xiang)好(hao)，尚未(wei)(wei)(wei)恢(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)復(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)至(zhi)正常(chang)(chang)水(shui)(shui)平(ping)(ping)(ping)；3. 消(xiao)費(fei)(fei)(fei)：受(shou)收(shou)(shou)入(ru)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)速(su)(su)(su)拖累，增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)動(dong)力(li)(li)有待進(jin)一(yi)步釋放；4. 率(lv)(lv)：信貸供(gong)給收(shou)(shou)緊，需(xu)提(ti)(ti)防(fang)相(xiang)關(guan)(guan)風(feng)(feng)險；5. 價(jia)格：大(da)(da)宗價(jia)格推(tui)升(sheng)PPI上(shang)(shang)(shang)漲，但(dan)對(dui)(dui)(dui)CPI傳導(dao)較(jiao)(jiao)弱；6. 國(guo)(guo)(guo)際(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)收(shou)(shou)支和(he)(he)匯(hui)率(lv)(lv)：經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)常(chang)(chang)賬戶回彈，趨勢或難持(chi)續，人(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)民(min)幣匯(hui)率(lv)(lv)仍面臨不(bu)(bu)確定(ding)(ding)(ding)性；7. 國(guo)(guo)(guo)際(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)形勢：關(guan)(guan)注(zhu)(zhu)疫情(qing)分(fen)(fen)(fen)化(hua)與(yu)(yu)反復(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)、國(guo)(guo)(guo)際(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)貨(huo)幣政策轉向(xiang)兩(liang)大(da)(da)風(feng)(feng)險，全(quan)(quan)方位積極應對(dui)(dui)(dui)。 人(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)力(li)(li)資(zi)(zi)源(yuan)(yuan)而非人(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)口(kou)總(zong)量(liang)是(shi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)期(qi)發展(zhan)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)基(ji)礎(chu)；2. 如(ru)何(he)保(bao)(bao)護(hu)和(he)(he)提(ti)(ti)升(sheng)人(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)力(li)(li)資(zi)(zi)源(yuan)(yuan)；3. 如(ru)何(he)提(ti)(ti)高(gao)人(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)力(li)(li)資(zi)(zi)源(yuan)(yuan)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)使用效(xiao)(xiao)率(lv)(lv)。目前(qian)(qian)(qian)疫情(qing)在全(quan)(quan)球范圍內尚未(wei)(wei)(wei)完全(quan)(quan)結束，我國(guo)(guo)(guo)居(ju)(ju)民(min)收(shou)(shou)入(ru)和(he)(he)消(xiao)費(fei)(fei)(fei)尚未(wei)(wei)(wei)恢(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)復(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)到(dao)疫情(qing)前(qian)(qian)(qian)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)正常(chang)(chang)水(shui)(shui)平(ping)(ping)(ping)，仍處(chu)于(yu)“六穩(wen)(wen)六保(bao)(bao)”政策驅動(dong)下(xia)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)緩(huan)慢(man)恢(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)復(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)期(qi)，中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)國(guo)(guo)(guo)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)企穩(wen)(wen)根(gen)基(ji)尚需(xu)進(jin)一(yi)步筑(zhu)牢(lao)。考慮(lv)到(dao)基(ji)數(shu)效(xiao)(xiao)應以(yi)(yi)及國(guo)(guo)(guo)際(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)疫情(qing)可(ke)(ke)能(neng)(neng)轉好(hao)造(zao)成的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)外貿條(tiao)件變(bian)化(hua)，我們(men)預計全(quan)(quan)年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)呈現逐(zhu)(zhu)季下(xia)降(jiang)趨勢。結合(he)高(gao)頻數(shu)據(ju)與(yu)(yu)各分(fen)(fen)(fen)項(xiang)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)趨勢進(jin)行測(ce)算(suan)，我們(men)預計2022年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)全(quan)(quan)年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)實(shi)(shi)(shi)際(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)GDP增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)速(su)(su)(su)約為(wei)8.2%左右(you)。如(ru)主(zhu)要(yao)(yao)風(feng)(feng)險集(ji)中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)爆(bao)發，全(quan)(quan)年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)實(shi)(shi)(shi)際(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)GDP增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)速(su)(su)(su)有可(ke)(ke)能(neng)(neng)降(jiang)至(zhi)7%左右(you)；如(ru)國(guo)(guo)(guo)際(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)形勢整(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)體(ti)(ti)(ti)向(xiang)好(hao)，消(xiao)費(fei)(fei)(fei)恢(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)復(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)平(ping)(ping)(ping)穩(wen)(wen)，則全(quan)(quan)年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)實(shi)(shi)(shi)際(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)GDP增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)速(su)(su)(su)有望突破8.5%。人(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)力(li)(li)資(zi)(zi)源(yuan)(yuan)總(zong)量(liang)是(shi)指一(yi)個經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)體(ti)(ti)(ti)內考慮(lv)到(dao)人(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)口(kou)素質（包括(kuo)健(jian)康水(shui)(shui)平(ping)(ping)(ping)和(he)(he)受(shou)教育水(shui)(shui)平(ping)(ping)(ping)）的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)有能(neng)(neng)力(li)(li)參與(yu)(yu)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)社(she)(she)會活動(dong)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)人(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)口(kou)工作時間儲(chu)備(bei)。在綜(zong)合(he)考慮(lv)人(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)口(kou)結構的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)變(bian)化(hua)、健(jian)康和(he)(he)受(shou)教育水(shui)(shui)平(ping)(ping)(ping)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)提(ti)(ti)高(gao)之(zhi)后，中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)國(guo)(guo)(guo)最(zui)近20年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)以(yi)(yi)來人(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)力(li)(li)資(zi)(zi)源(yuan)(yuan)總(zong)量(liang)整(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)體(ti)(ti)(ti)上(shang)(shang)(shang)呈現不(bu)(bu)斷上(shang)(shang)(shang)升(sheng)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)趨勢，2022年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)人(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)力(li)(li)資(zi)(zi)源(yuan)(yuan)總(zong)量(liang)相(xiang)較(jiao)(jiao)2000年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)提(ti)(ti)高(gao)14%。根(gen)據(ju)預測(ce)，隨(sui)著教育和(he)(he)健(jian)康水(shui)(shui)平(ping)(ping)(ping)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)繼續提(ti)(ti)升(sheng)，中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)國(guo)(guo)(guo)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)人(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)力(li)(li)資(zi)(zi)源(yuan)(yuan)總(zong)量(liang)將在2050年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)之(zhi)前(qian)(qian)(qian)保(bao)(bao)持(chi)平(ping)(ping)(ping)穩(wen)(wen)緩(huan)慢(man)上(shang)(shang)(shang)升(sheng)，可(ke)(ke)以(yi)(yi)為(wei)新百年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)華民(min)族偉大(da)(da)復(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)興(xing)提(ti)(ti)供(gong)堅(jian)實(shi)(shi)(shi)保(bao)(bao)障。我們(men)建議，中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)國(guo)(guo)(guo)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)人(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)口(kou)國(guo)(guo)(guo)策應當轉變(bian)為(wei)人(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)力(li)(li)資(zi)(zi)源(yuan)(yuan)戰略，更加(jia)關(guan)(guan)注(zhu)(zhu)人(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)發展(zhan)，更加(jia)關(guan)(guan)注(zhu)(zhu)教育和(he)(he)健(jian)康。2022第(di)一(yi)季度(du)，我國(guo)(guo)(guo)實(shi)(shi)(shi)際(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)GDP增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)速(su)(su)(su)為(wei)18.3%，比(bi)2022年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)四季度(du)環(huan)比(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)0.6%；比(bi)2022年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)一(yi)季度(du)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)10.3%，兩(liang)年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)平(ping)(ping)(ping)均增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)5.0%。目前(qian)(qian)(qian)疫情(qing)在全(quan)(quan)球范圍內尚未(wei)(wei)(wei)完全(quan)(quan)結束，我國(guo)(guo)(guo)居(ju)(ju)民(min)收(shou)(shou)入(ru)和(he)(he)消(xiao)費(fei)(fei)(fei)尚未(wei)(wei)(wei)恢(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)復(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)到(dao)疫情(qing)前(qian)(qian)(qian)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)正常(chang)(chang)水(shui)(shui)平(ping)(ping)(ping)，仍處(chu)于(yu)“六穩(wen)(wen)六保(bao)(bao)”政策驅動(dong)下(xia)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)緩(huan)慢(man)恢(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)復(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)期(qi)，中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)國(guo)(guo)(guo)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)企穩(wen)(wen)根(gen)基(ji)尚需(xu)進(jin)一(yi)步筑(zhu)牢(lao)。考慮(lv)到(dao)基(ji)數(shu)效(xiao)(xiao)應以(yi)(yi)及國(guo)(guo)(guo)際(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)疫情(qing)可(ke)(ke)能(neng)(neng)轉好(hao)造(zao)成的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)外貿條(tiao)件變(bian)化(hua)，我們(men)預計全(quan)(quan)年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)呈現逐(zhu)(zhu)季下(xia)降(jiang)趨勢。結合(he)高(gao)頻數(shu)據(ju)與(yu)(yu)各分(fen)(fen)(fen)項(xiang)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)趨勢進(jin)行測(ce)算(suan)，我們(men)預計2022年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)二季度(du)實(shi)(shi)(shi)際(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)GDP增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)速(su)(su)(su)約為(wei)9%，全(quan)(quan)年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)實(shi)(shi)(shi)際(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)GDP增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)速(su)(su)(su)約為(wei)8.2%左右(you)。如(ru)主(zhu)要(yao)(yao)風(feng)(feng)險集(ji)中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)爆(bao)發，全(quan)(quan)年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)實(shi)(shi)(shi)際(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)GDP增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)速(su)(su)(su)有可(ke)(ke)能(neng)(neng)降(jiang)至(zhi)7%左右(you)；如(ru)國(guo)(guo)(guo)際(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)形勢整(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)體(ti)(ti)(ti)向(xiang)好(hao)，消(xiao)費(fei)(fei)(fei)恢(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)復(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)平(ping)(ping)(ping)穩(wen)(wen)，則全(quan)(quan)年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)實(shi)(shi)(shi)際(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)GDP增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)速(su)(su)(su)有望突破8.5%。1-4月(yue)，固定(ding)(ding)(ding)資(zi)(zi)產(chan)投(tou)(tou)(tou)資(zi)(zi)同比(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)19.9%，兩(liang)年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)平(ping)(ping)(ping)均增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)3.9%；但(dan)相(xiang)對(dui)(dui)(dui)于(yu)工業、出(chu)口(kou)、消(xiao)費(fei)(fei)(fei)，投(tou)(tou)(tou)資(zi)(zi)復(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)蘇進(jin)度(du)相(xiang)對(dui)(dui)(dui)偏慢(man)、力(li)(li)度(du)相(xiang)對(dui)(dui)(dui)乏(fa)力(li)(li)，整(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)體(ti)(ti)(ti)投(tou)(tou)(tou)資(zi)(zi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)速(su)(su)(su)尚未(wei)(wei)(wei)恢(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)復(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)至(zhi)疫情(qing)之(zhi)前(qian)(qian)(qian)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)正常(chang)(chang)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)水(shui)(shui)平(ping)(ping)(ping)。分(fen)(fen)(fen)行業來看，制造(zao)業投(tou)(tou)(tou)資(zi)(zi)恢(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)復(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)進(jin)度(du)最(zui)慢(man)，兩(liang)年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)平(ping)(ping)(ping)均增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)速(su)(su)(su)尚未(wei)(wei)(wei)轉正；基(ji)建投(tou)(tou)(tou)資(zi)(zi)復(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)蘇乏(fa)力(li)(li)，增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)速(su)(su)(su)低位徘徊；房(fang)地產(chan)投(tou)(tou)(tou)資(zi)(zi)一(yi)枝獨秀，表(biao)現出(chu)較(jiao)(jiao)強韌性和(he)(he)活力(li)(li)，是(shi)當前(qian)(qian)(qian)拉動(dong)投(tou)(tou)(tou)資(zi)(zi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)主(zhu)要(yao)(yao)動(dong)力(li)(li)。展(zhan)望下(xia)半年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)，固定(ding)(ding)(ding)資(zi)(zi)產(chan)投(tou)(tou)(tou)資(zi)(zi)仍將保(bao)(bao)持(chi)穩(wen)(wen)定(ding)(ding)(ding)恢(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)復(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)態勢，但(dan)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)動(dong)能(neng)(neng)可(ke)(ke)能(neng)(neng)仍然(ran)減弱，政策加(jia)力(li)(li)刻不(bu)(bu)容(rong)緩(huan)。ACCEPT預計全(quan)(quan)年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)固定(ding)(ding)(ding)資(zi)(zi)產(chan)投(tou)(tou)(tou)資(zi)(zi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)速(su)(su)(su)為(wei)8.5%-9.5%。雖然(ran)第(di)一(yi)季度(du)居(ju)(ju)民(min)消(xiao)費(fei)(fei)(fei)與(yu)(yu)社(she)(she)會消(xiao)費(fei)(fei)(fei)品(pin)零售總(zong)額(e)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)同比(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)速(su)(su)(su)分(fen)(fen)(fen)別高(gao)達17.6%和(he)(he)33.9%，然(ran)而較(jiao)(jiao)高(gao)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)速(su)(su)(su)度(du)主(zhu)要(yao)(yao)是(shi)由于(yu)去年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)低基(ji)數(shu)所導(dao)致(zhi)(zhi)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)。綜(zong)合(he)考慮(lv)過去兩(liang)年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)整(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)體(ti)(ti)(ti)情(qing)況，當前(qian)(qian)(qian)居(ju)(ju)民(min)消(xiao)費(fei)(fei)(fei)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)速(su)(su)(su)度(du)仍要(yao)(yao)慢(man)于(yu)疫情(qing)爆(bao)發前(qian)(qian)(qian)2022年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)與(yu)(yu)2022年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)水(shui)(shui)平(ping)(ping)(ping)。導(dao)致(zhi)(zhi)消(xiao)費(fei)(fei)(fei)反彈不(bu)(bu)足的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)最(zui)主(zhu)要(yao)(yao)原因，是(shi)總(zong)產(chan)出(chu)恢(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)復(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)并(bing)未(wei)(wei)(wei)完全(quan)(quan)反映在居(ju)(ju)民(min)收(shou)(shou)入(ru)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)提(ti)(ti)升(sheng)之(zhi)中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)。除收(shou)(shou)入(ru)因素之(zhi)外，年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)初疫情(qing)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)偶有復(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)發與(yu)(yu)消(xiao)費(fei)(fei)(fei)習慣的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)調整(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)也部分(fen)(fen)(fen)地導(dao)致(zhi)(zhi)了居(ju)(ju)民(min)消(xiao)費(fei)(fei)(fei)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)放緩(huan)。我們(men)認為(wei)，在經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)總(zong)體(ti)(ti)(ti)性恢(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)復(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)大(da)(da)背景下(xia)，今年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)三至(zhi)四季度(du)，我國(guo)(guo)(guo)居(ju)(ju)民(min)消(xiao)費(fei)(fei)(fei)有望出(chu)現U型反彈。...
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